The Padel Society — Communities Business Model

Sabai Sabai · Deuce · HerCourt (+ Sabai Pattaya) — all figures in THB
Built from Setpoint production data (Feb 2025 – Jul 2026, past events only, deleted & test events excluded) · Updated Aug 18, 2026
Team briefing — read this first

Our communities lose ~฿113k/mo. Not because events are weak — they're excellent (97% fill on Sabai) — but because 80% of every baht goes back to the clubs for courts, and the ฿300/court-hour that remains can't carry our overhead. The fix is not more events (that would take ~126/mo — 4 per day). The fix is three high-margin moves on top of what we already run: ฿100/seat premium · 3 sponsor slots · monthly tournaments — which drop break-even to ~28 events, below today's 42. Membership comes later, once partnerships give us real perks to sell. Section 5 shows where the numbers land; sections 6–8 are the plan.

1 · Where the business stands today

Monthly run-rate, average of May–Jul 2026
Events / month
42
across 3 brands
Attendees / month
470
~1,700 unique players lifetime
Gross revenue
฿326k
/ month
Court margin (25% markup)
฿65k
20% of gross
Operating costs
฿178k
/ month · team + management, all-in
Net
−฿113k
loss / month

2 · Twelve months of gross revenue

Monthly gross event revenue by community, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Sabai Sabai Deuce HerCourt Sabai Pattaya
View data table

3 · The three communities

Lifetime performance per brand

Sabai Sabai

Since Feb 2025 · Pad Thai, Bel Club 22, Kross, Sterling
  • Events held 458
  • Avg attendance 11.6 / 11.9 cap
  • Fill rate 97%
  • Avg ticket ฿629
  • Lifetime gross ฿3.25M
  • Unique players 1,259
  • Regulars (5+ visits) 303

Deuce

Since Sep 2025, relaunched Dec · Sterling + Pad Thai
  • Events held 45
  • Avg attendance 9.0 / 12.8 cap
  • Fill rate 71%
  • Typical ticket ฿1,000–1,200
  • Lifetime gross ฿385k
  • Unique players 202
  • Regulars (5+ visits) 15

HerCourt

Since May 2025 · Pad Thai (98% of events)
  • Events held 82
  • Avg attendance 6.0 / 7.2 cap
  • Fill rate 83%
  • Avg ticket ฿651
  • Lifetime gross ฿288k
  • Unique players 275
  • Regulars (5+ visits) 12

Sabai Pattaya

Since Mar 2026 · Pattaya Padel Club · dormant since Jun
  • Events held 7
  • Avg attendance 7.7 / 14.9 cap
  • Fill rate 52%
  • Avg ticket ฿600
  • Lifetime gross ฿32k
  • Unique players 41
  • Regulars (5+ visits) 0

4 · Unit economics

The atomic unit: one court-block = 1 court × 2 hours × 4–5 players
One court-block
4–5 × ฿620
players per court × avg ticket
Revenue per court
฿2,480–3,100
historical Sabai runs at 5.0/court
Court rental (÷1.25)
−฿2,000–2,480
฿1,000–1,240 per hour
Margin per court
+฿500–620
20% of gross — the structural ceiling

An average event books 2.3 courts → ~฿1,360 margin per event on court markup alone. A ฿100/seat premium adds ~฿450–500 per court (~100% margin) — nearly doubling the take without touching the court price.

The host equation

A host can run 2 events/day × 26 days = 52 events/mo. Fully utilized, one host generates 52 × ฿1,800 = ~฿94k of court margin — several times what a host costs. Hosts are a profit engine, not a cost line. The catch: on court markup alone it takes ~126 events/mo (3 fully-loaded hosts) just to cover the fixed operating base. The portfolio today (42 events) fits inside one host.

5 · The path to profit — where the numbers land

Three snapshots of the same business: today, the moment we cross zero, and where the plan takes us
฿ / monthTodayPhase 3 · Nov–Dec '26Q1 '27
Social events / month4250–5575–85 (host #2)
Tournaments / month022
Sponsor slots sold034
Court margin + ฿100 premium+65k~+145k~+225k
Sponsors + tournaments0~+95k~+110k
Operating costs (all-in)−178k−178k~−205k
Net−113k+40–70k+120–150k

How to read this: the events business barely changes size — what changes is what each filled hour earns. Court cost model: player ticket = court rental + 25% markup (margin fixed at 20% of gross); premium and sponsorship revenue carry ~100% margin; tournaments at our ฿25k profit target each.

6 · Break-even — how many events to make money?

Standard event = 3 courts × 2h = 6 court-hours · buy ฿950/h, sell ฿1,250/h → ฿300/court-hour → ฿1,800 margin/event · total operating cost ≈ ฿178–225k/mo depending on team size (each host adds ~52 events/mo of capacity)
Revenue modelMargin / eventEvents / moCourt-hours / moVerdict
Court markup only฿1,800~126 (needs 3 hosts)~755h✗ 3× today — 4 events every day, zero slack
+ ฿100/seat premium (13.5 seats)฿3,150~65 (2 hosts)~390h✗ Hard — 1.5× volume first
+ 3 sponsor slots (฿45k)฿3,150~44 (1 host)~264h◐ Just above today's 42
+ 2 tournaments/mo (~฿25k margin each)฿3,150~28 (1 host)~168h✓ Well below today — profitable at current volume
Later: + 100 members × ฿500฿3,150~12~72hParked until partnerships deliver real perks

Today we run 42 events ≈ 190 court-hours. The answer to "how many events?": on court markup alone, ~126/mo — 4 every single day with 3 hosts and no room for a bad week. With the full revenue layer, break-even drops to ~28 events — below what we already run. The break-even line must be pulled DOWN with high-margin revenue, not chased with volume.

Tournaments — our commitment: 2 per month, ฿25k profit target each. One weekend tournament fills 40–80 court-hours with a single host (≈35 social events' worth of hours). The ฿25k target works out at e.g. 32 players × ฿1,500 entry + ฿15k title sponsor over ~40 court-hours — margin ~฿600+/court-hour, double the social rate. Deuce has proven demand (tickets to ฿5,850). That's +฿50k/mo — doing the job membership would have done, available now.

The realistic plan — 4 phases, each gate self-funding the next
PhaseMovesEvents/moNet/mo
1 · Aug–Sep '26฿100 premium on Sabai tickets (97% fill absorbs it) · sponsor kit to LUMI / F'D UP / Batiste · first monthly tournament on the calendar42 + 1 tournament−฿50k
2 · Oct '262 sponsors signed (฿30k) · tournament cadence locked (1/mo with title sponsor) · Deuce to 10 events · premium on all brands~48 + 1−฿10k
3 · Nov–Dec '263rd sponsor (฿45k total) · 2 tournaments/mo · HerCourt relaunch (host-led beginner ladder)50–55 + 2+฿40–70k ← crosses zero
4 · Q1 '27Host #2 · Pattaya revival or 2nd Bangkok chapter · academy & brand partnerships → unlock membership with real perks75–85 + 2+฿120–150k

Rule of the plan: no new fixed cost until the previous revenue lever is confirmed — the premium funds the sponsor push, sponsors fund the tournaments and relaunch, and together they fund host #2.

7 · Membership — parked until partnerships make it real

Decision Aug '26: priority access + discounts alone aren't a strong enough offer. We first build partnerships (academies, clubs, brands) that give us real perks to sell — then launch. Tournaments + sponsors carry the plan until then.

We already created the loyalty — we just never monetized it: 303 players have attended Sabai 5+ times, 640 have come back at least twice. Membership converts that proven loyalty into recurring revenue. At ฿500/mo it costs less than one event ticket — an easy yes for anyone playing weekly.

What membership bringsWhy it matters
Recurring revenue at ~100% margin100 members = ฿50k/mo that arrives before a single court is booked — it covers a third of overhead and cuts break-even from ~44 to ~28 events
A revenue floor that doesn't depend on weather or fillCourt margin swings with attendance; membership is the stable base under it
Priority access — a perk that costs us nothingSabai runs at 97% fill; spots are genuinely scarce. Selling early access to scarcity we already have is pure margin
Higher frequency & retentionMembers pre-commit → they play more, fill mid-week hours, and churn less. HerCourt's problem (275 tried, 12 stayed) is exactly what a membership ladder fixes
Makes the ฿100 premium feel fairNon-members pay the premium; members skip it. Both segments feel they're winning
A sellable audience for sponsors"300 named, active Bangkok padel players" is a real media kit — it's what lets us charge ฿15k/slot instead of giving branded nights away free
The perk stack — three layers, ordered by what they cost us
LayerPerksCost to us
1 · Sponsor-fundedWelcome pack (sponsor products) · monthly member giveaway · discounts at sponsor venues & brands · demo gear days · drinks on sponsored nights฿0 — baked into every sponsor slot deal: sponsors pay to reach exactly this audience
2 · Operational48h priority booking · ฿100 premium waived · member badge in the app · monthly members-only night · bring-a-friend premium waiver~฿0 — we sell scarcity and status we already have
3 · Price discountMember price on every event ticketComes out of our per-seat margin — governed by the threshold below
The discount threshold — how much we can give before members cost us money

Our margin on a base ticket is ~฿125/seat. A member playing 4×/mo also pays ฿500 in fees. That gives three zones:

Member discountEffect at typical 4 events/moVerdict
฿50 off (ticket ฿570)Every member event stays clearly profitable; fee covers the giveaway 2.5×✓ Safe zone — recommended
฿100 off (ticket ฿520)Events still profitable, but the fee only breaks even if the member doesn't play more than ~5×/mo — needs the frequency uplift to pay off◐ Ceiling — only if membership demonstrably lifts frequency
฿125+ offWe now pay the club for the privilege of hosting our own member✗ Never — below court cost per seat

Guard-rail: member discount applies to the first 6 events/mo (protects us from heavy players turning the perk into a loss), and the discount rides on top of the premium waiver — a member at 4 events/mo saves ฿600 vs a non-member, for a ฿500 fee. The value is obvious, and we still come out ahead.

Founding offer (first 100, price locked forever): ฿500/mo → all layer-1 sponsor perks · 48h priority booking · ฿100 premium waived · ฿50 member price on every ticket (first 6 events/mo) · monthly members-only night · member badge. Target: 50 founding members in month one (17% of the 303 regulars), 100 by month three, 150 by Q1 '27 = ฿75k/mo recurring.

8 · The playbook — what each of us does

The mission: from −฿113k/mo to +฿100k/mo by Q1 '27 — without buying volume

Host

The profit engine — ฿1,800 margin per event run
  • Protect the 97% fill — it's our licence to charge more
  • Run the newcomer→regular ladder at every event (greet, mix teams, invite back to a named next event)
  • Capture 3 content clips per event for social
  • Own tournament weekend ops (the 40–80h blocks)
  • Target: build toward 52 events/mo capacity

Social media

Measured on bookings, not likes
  • Job #1: fill both monthly tournaments (promote 3 weeks out, recap reels the Monday after)
  • Job #2: fill HerCourt relaunch (275 women already tried it — win them back)
  • Make sponsors visible every week (their logo in every recap = renewals)
  • 3 posts/wk per brand from host clips
  • Metric: new-player first bookings per month

Management

Must generate the high-margin revenue that justifies its cost
  • Sell 3 sponsor slots ฿15k/mo (LUMI, F'D UP, Batiste get branded nights today for free)
  • Own the tournament calendar: 2/mo, ฿25k profit target each, title sponsor on every one
  • Build academy & brand partnerships → the real perks that unlock membership later
  • Negotiate court rates — every ฿50/h saved ≈ +฿30k/mo at scale volume
  • Hold the phase gates: no new fixed cost until the previous lever is proven

North-star dashboard, reviewed monthly: fill % · events/mo · court-hours/mo · tournaments run & profit each · sponsor slots sold · net ฿/mo. Green = Phase 3 (Nov–Dec): 50–55 events + 2 tournaments, 3 sponsors, net above zero.

9 · What the data says — POV

  1. The field operation already works. Courts and the field team are fully covered by the court markup today. Unit economics are not the problem.
  2. The fixed operating base is the mountain. At pure court markup (~฿1,800/event) it takes ~126 events/mo — triple today's volume, 4 events every day — to carry it. Volume alone cannot get there.
  3. Pricing power is proven and unused. Sabai runs at 97% fill — a waitlist-shaped signal. A ฿100/seat premium, 3 sponsor slots (LUMI, F'D UP, Batiste already brand nights for free) and 2 tournaments at ฿25k each flip the P&L to profit at essentially today's volume (scenario C).
  4. The 303 Sabai regulars are the hidden asset. Today they are the tournament base and the premium payers; once academy & brand partnerships give us real perks, they become the founding members — that lever stays parked, not forgotten.
  5. HerCourt is a retention fix, not a demand problem. 275 women tried it; only 12 became regulars. Fix the beginner→regular ladder before spending on acquisition.
  6. Don't hire host #2 yet. One host covers 52 events/mo (2/day × 26 days); the second host is only justified once Deuce + HerCourt are rebuilt past that line — and a fully-loaded host pays for themselves several times over.